Canadiens vs. Lightning odds, line: 2025-2026 NHL first-round playoffs best bets from proven model

The Montreal Canadiens look to grab a commanding 2-0 series lead when they battle the Tampa Bay Lightning in Game 2 of their NHL Eastern Conference first-round playoff matchup on Tuesday night. Montreal outlasted Tampa Bay 4-3 in overtime on Saturday night in the best-of-seven series opener. The Canadiens (48-24-10), who finished third in the Atlantic Division, are 7-3 over the past 10 games. The Lightning (50-26-6), who were second in the Atlantic, are 4-6 over their past 10 games.

Face-off from Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, Fla., is set for 7 p.m. ET. The Lightning are the -191 favorite (risk $191 to win $100) in the latest Canadiens vs. Lightning odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total goals scored is 6.

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Now, it has simulated Canadiens vs. Lightning 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is going Over on the goal total and is says one side of the money line has ALL the value!

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