NFC South rivals will square off Sunday when the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-3) visit Mercedes-Benz Stadium to face the Atlanta Falcons (5-6) in an NFL Week 13 matchup. The Bucs beat the Falcons 48-25 in Week 2 and have a three-game lead over Atlanta and New Orleans in the division.

Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET. The Bucs are 10.5-point favorites in the latest Buccaneers vs. Falcons odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is 50.5. Before you make any Falcons vs. Buccaneers picks, you NEED to check out the latest NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model. 

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,100 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters Week 14 of the 2021 season on an incredible 131-94 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is WAY UP!

The model has considered the Bucs' high-powered offense led by Tom Brady (3,403 yards, 30 TDs). The unit had contributions from running back Leonard Fournette and tight end Rob Gronkowski in last week's 38-31 win against the Colts. Fournette had 131 total yards and four TDs, while Gronkowski had 123 receiving yards. Brady is 9-0 in his career against the Falcons, who will also have to stop elite wide receivers Chris Godwin (806 yards) and Mike Evans (10 TDs).

The model also has taken into account the ability of veteran Atlanta QB Matt Ryan (2,617 yards, 16 TDs) and what he could do to a decimated Bucs secondary. Carson Wentz threw for 306 yards and three TDs last week against the Buccaneers and Tampa Bay was down by 10 at halftime. Running back Cordarrelle Patterson is a dangerous weapon and had 135 total yards and two TDs in a 21-14 win against Jacksonville last week. Rookie tight end Kyle Pitts (661 yards) also could do plenty of damage.

Now, the model has broken down the Buccaneers vs. Falcons matchup and revealed its results. We can tell you it's leaning Over the total, and it also says one side of the spread cashes in more than 50 percent of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any Falcons vs. Buccaneers picks of your own.

So who wins Buccaneers vs. Falcons on Sunday? And which side of the spread hits over half the time? ... Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the Falcons vs. Buccaneers spread to back, all from the dialed-in NFL model that's up almost $7,100 on top-rated picks!