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Bucks vs. Pistons line, picks: Advanced computer NBA model releases selections for Monday matchup

SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Monday's matchup between the Milwaukee Bucks and the Detroit Pistons

By@SportsLinePublished: Jan 22, 2024 10:15PM UTC . 3 min read

The Milwaukee Bucks and Detroit Pistons square off at Little Caesars Arena at 7 p.m. ET on Monday. For this game, SportsLine consensus lists the Bucks as 12.5-point favorites, while the over/under is 247.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). Before making any Bucks vs. Pistons picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model enters Week 13 of the 2023-24 NBA season on a sizzling 48-25 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning over $2,200. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows Milwaukee is one of the NBA's best offensive teams. The Bucks scored 1.29 points per possession against the Pistons on Saturday, and Milwaukee is scoring 120.7 points per 100 possessions for the season. Milwaukee ranks in the top three of the league in free throw creation, field goal percentage, and 2-point percentage. The Bucks are also firmly in the top quartile of the NBA in 3-point accuracy, 3-pointers per game, and turnover avoidance.

The model also knows the Pistons are scoring well in recent days. Detroit is putting up more than 1.24 points per possession in the last three games, producing a 62.3% true shooting mark in those contests. That includes a prolific showing against Milwaukee on Saturday, and the Bucks have defensive issues. Milwaukee is dead-last in the league in forcing only 11.7 turnovers per game, and the Bucks are near the bottom of the NBA in steals, second-chance points allowed, fast break points allowed, and points allowed in the paint.

Now, it has set its sights on Bucks vs. Pistons. We can tell you the model is leaning Under the total, and it also says one side of the spread has all the value! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

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