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Bucks vs. Pacers odds, line: Proven model reveals picks for NBA Game 5 first-round matchup on April 29, 2025

The SportsLine Projection Model, up well over $10,000 on NBA picks over the past six seasons, has locked in its bets for the Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers Game 5 matchup on Tuesday, as Milwaukee will try to stay alive without Damian Lillard (left leg)

ByPublished: Apr 29, 2025 8:05PM UTC . 3 min read

The Indiana Pacers will look to close out their NBA Eastern Conference first-round matchup with the Milwaukee Bucks when they meet in Game 5 on Tuesday night. Indiana grabbed a 3-1 series lead with a 129-103 win on Sunday as eight Pacers scored in double-figures, compared to just three for Milwaukee. The Bucks (48-34), who won the 2020-21 NBA championship, have been eliminated in the first round the past two seasons. The Pacers (50-32), who are looking to defeat Milwaukee in the first round for the second year in a row, lost in the Eastern Conference finals last season. Bucks point guard Damian Lillard is out for the playoffs due to a torn Achilles suffered on Sunday, while Bennedict Mathurin (abdominal) is questionable for Indiana.

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Tipoff from Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis is set for 6 p.m. ET. The Pacers are 8-point favorites in the latest Bucks vs. Pacers odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 222.5. The Pacers are -375 on the money line (risk $375 to win $100), while the Bucks are +294 (risk $100 to win $294). 

Before making any Bucks vs. Pacers picks, check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters the second full week of the 2025 NBA playoffs on a sizzling 156-116 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $4,000. It is also 22-11 (67%) on top-rated NBA against-the-spread picks this season. Anyone following could have seen HUGE returns!

The model has simulated Bucks vs. Pacers 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in 60% of simulations!

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Daniel Kohn

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