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    Bucks vs. Celtics line, picks: Advanced computer NBA model releases selections for Monday matchup

    SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Monday's matchup between the Milwaukee Bucks and the Boston Celtics
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    The Milwaukee Bucks visit the Boston Celtics for an Eastern Conference face-off at 7:30 p.m. ET on Monday. Boston is favored by 1.5 points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is set at 217.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). 

    Before making any Bucks vs. Celtics picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

    The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 8 of the 2021-22 NBA season up almost $2,000 on all top-rated NBA picks this season. It's also on a stunning 121-78 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread that dates back to last season. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns.

    The model knows the Bucks are dialed in recently, winning 12 of the last 14 games. Milwaukee is out-scoring the opposition by more than 10 points per 100 possessions during that run, with top-flight units on offense and defense. Milwaukee is a top-five team in field goal percentage allowed at 43.5 percent, and the Bucks are firmly in the top 10 in overall shooting efficiency on the offensive side. The Bucks are also elite on the glass and in the free-throw battle, flipping the math in their favor.

    The model also knows the Celtics are effective on the defensive end. Opponents are scoring only 107.2 points per 100 possessions against Boston this season, with the Celtics also limiting the opposition to only 44.3 percent shooting. The Celtics are in the top eight in assists allowed (21.8 per game), defensive rebound rate (73.8 percent) and second-chance points allowed (12.0 per game), with above-average metrics in turnover creation rate, fast-break points allowed and points allowed in the paint. Meanwhile, Milwaukee is below-average in both turnover prevention and creation, which could benefit the Celtics.

    Now, it has set its sights on Bucks vs. Celtics. We can tell you the model is leaning over the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

    Who wins Bucks vs. Celtics? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Bucks vs. Celtics spread you should be all over Monday, all from the model on a roll on NBA picks!

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    SportsLine Staff

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