An NFC South battle is on tap between Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-2) and Marcus Mariota and the Atlanta Falcons (2-2) at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa. The Falcons are coming off back-to-back wins over the Seattle Seahawks and Cleveland Browns, while the Bucs are looking to snap a two-game losing streak after falling 41-31 to the Kansas City Chiefs in Week 4. 

Tampa Bay is favored by 10 points in the latest Buccaneers vs. Falcons odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over/under is set at 46.5. Before making any Falcons vs. Buccaneers picks or predictions, you'll want to see what the SportsLine Projection Model is saying.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 5 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 140-105 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is WAY UP!

Now, it has simulated Buccaneers vs. Falcons 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread has ALL the value. You absolutely need to see it before locking in your own picks.

So who wins Buccaneers vs. Falcons? And which side of the spread is a must-back? Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its NFL picks.