Broncos vs. Patriots odds, prediction, time: 2026 AFC Championship Game picks by proven model

The Denver Broncos will look to overcome the loss of quarterback Bo Nix (ankle) when they battle the New England Patriots in the AFC Championship Game on Sunday. The winner will advance to Super Bowl LX. New England downed Houston 28-16 on Sunday, while Denver outlasted Buffalo 33-30 in overtime on Saturday. The Patriots (14-3), the second seed in the AFC, are 8-0 on the road this season. The Broncos (14-3), the top seed in the conference, are 9-1 at home, including the postseason.

Kickoff from Empower Field at Mile High in Denver is set for 3 p.m. ET on CBS and Paramount+ (sign up here). The Broncos lead the all-time series 31-24, including 4-1 in the postseason. The Patriots are 5.5-point favorites in the latest Patriots vs. Broncos odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 41.5 via DraftKings Sportsbooks. 

Before making any Patriots vs. Broncos picks, you NEED to see which side the proven SportsLine projection model is on.

  The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters the AFC and NFC Championship Games on a 53-37 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024. Anybody following could have seen HUGE returns!

Now, the model has locked in another confident pick for Patriots vs. Broncos.

We can tell you it's leaning Under the point total, but also says that one side of the spread hits in nearly 60% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY NEED to see which side to back before locking in any picks of your own.

So who wins Patriots vs. Broncos in the 2026 AFC Championship Game, and which side of the spread hits nearly 60% of the time? ... Join SportsLine RIGHT NOW to see which side of the line to back, all from the model that has gone 53-37 on top-rated picks since 2024!