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Braves vs. Marlins odds, lines: Advanced computer model reveals picks for April 27, 2023, matchup

SportsLine's Projection Model has generated picks for Thursday's matchup between the Atlanta Braves and Miami Marlins

By@SportsLineUpdated: Apr 27, 2023 2:42PM UTC . 3 min read

The Atlanta Braves will try to complete a four-game sweep of the Miami Marlins when they square off in the final game of the series on Thursday afternoon. Atlanta erased a 4-0 deficit in Wednesday's 6-4 comeback win, scoring four runs in the eighth inning. The Braves have opened a three-game lead over the New York Mets atop the National League East. 

The game is slated to begin at 12:20 p.m. ET from Truist Park in Atlanta. The Braves are -178 on the money line (risk $178 to win $100) in the latest Braves vs. Marlins odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total runs scored is 8.5 (see the latest lines for every game on our MLB odds page).

Before making any Marlins vs. Braves picks, you NEED to see the latest MLB predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It went 331-285 on top-rated MLB money-line picks (+357) over the past two seasons, and it is on a 26-21 run dating back to the end of last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns!  

The model knows Atlanta stunned Miami by scoring four runs in the eighth inning on Wednesday to come back from a 4-0 deficit. The Braves have a chance to sweep Miami in a four-game series at home for the first time since 2018 after doing so on the road last year. Starting pitcher Kyle Wright is 2-2 with a 3.75 ERA in five career starts against the Marlins, going 2-0 with 11 shutout innings and 17 strikeouts last season.   

The model also knows Miami left-hander Braxton Garrett has an impressive 2.84 ERA through his first three starts this season. Garrett has not allowed more than two runs in a game, and he posted a 1.69 ERA in two starts against the Braves last year. Third baseman Luis Arraez leads the Marlins with a .421 batting average and nine RBI through his first 76 at-bats this season. 

Now, it has set its sights on Braves vs. Marlins. We can tell you the model is leaning Under on the total, projecting 8.1 combined runs, and it also says one side of the money line has ALL the value! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any MLB picks of your own.

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