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Blue Jays vs. Orioles line, odds, start time, spread pick, best bets for July 29 Game 1 matchup from proven model

SportsLine's projection model, which is on a profitable 24-11 run on top-rated MLB run-line picks, has locked in its MLB picks for the Toronto Blue Jays and Baltimore Orioles Game 1 of a doubleheader on Monday afternoon

By@SportsLinePublished: Jul 29, 2024 4:17PM UTC . 3 min read

The Baltimore Orioles and Toronto Blue Jays meet in the first of a four-game series on Monday afternoon when they meet in Game 1 of a doubleheader at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Baltimore defeated San Diego 8-6 on Sunday, while Toronto beat Texas 7-3.

First pitch is scheduled for 3:05 p.m. ET from Baltimore. The Orioles are the -186 money-line favorites (risk $186 to win $100) in the latest Blue Jays vs. Orioles odds, while the Blue Jays are +156 underdogs. The over/under for total runs scored is 9 in the latest MLB odds via SportsLine consensus. 

Before you make any Blue Jays vs. Orioles picks or MLB predictions, you need to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It entered Week 18 of the 2024 MLB season 53-44 on all-top rated MLB picks this season. Dating back to last season, it is on a 24-11 roll on top-rated run-line picks (+877). Anybody following has seen STRONG returns!

The model knows the Orioles are led by shortstop Gunnar Henderson. In 104 games, he is hitting .283, including 20 doubles, five triples, 28 homers, 64 RBI and 82 runs scored. In the three-game series against the San Diego Padres this past weekend, he was 3-for-11 with a double and one RBI. In 30 career games against Toronto, he has five doubles, four homers and 15 RBI.

The model also knows first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is among Toronto's top hitters. In 104 games, he is hitting .301 with 22 doubles, 19 homers, 64 RBI and 57 runs scored. In Sunday's 7-3 win over Texas, he was 1-for-3 with a homer and two RBI. He was 3-for-5 with a double and three runs scored in Saturday's 7-3 win. He has hit Baltimore pitching well throughout his career. In 83 games against the Orioles, he is hitting .316 with 14 doubles, 24 homers and 60 RBI.

The model has simulated Blue Jays vs. Orioles 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you the model is leaning Under on the run total, and it also says one side of the money line has ALL the value!

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