The New York Jets (4-6) will host the Miami Dolphins (7-3) in a Black Friday NFL matchup in NFL Week 12. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET. The Dolphins are 9.5-point favorites, while the over/under is 40.5 in the latest Dolphins vs. Jets odds. Before you make any Jets vs. Dolphins picks of your own, you NEED to check out the NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 12 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 175-126 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 29-18 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is WAY UP.

The model knows Miami's only losses this season have come to the Chiefs, Eagles and Bills, all expected to be AFC playoff contenders. The Dolphins' offense has been among the league's best, with quarterback Tua Tagovailoa and receiver Tyreek Hill lighting up scoreboards. Hill leads the league in receiving yards (1,222) and Tagovailoa is third in passing yards (2,934).  

The model also has considered that the Jets have beaten Buffalo and are the only team to beat Philadelphia. They rely on a defense that is fourth in the NFL in yards allowed per play (4.9), and the pass defense yields just 178.5 yards per game (fifth). Running back Breece Hall (544 yards) has home-run ability and averages 4.7 yards per carry.  

Now, the model has analyzed Dolphins vs. Jets in the NFL Black Friday matchup. We can tell you the model is leaning Over the total, and it also says one side of the spread cashes well over 50% of the time! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NFL picks.

Who wins Dolphins vs. Jets in the NFL Week 12 Black Friday matchup? And which side of the spread cashes well over 50% of the time? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Jets vs. Dolphins spread is a MUST-BACK, all from the model on a 29-18 roll on NFL picks!