Astros vs. Rangers odds, lines: Proven model reveals MLB picks for July 3, 2023 matchup

The Lone Star Series comes to a conclusion on Monday afternoon with the last of a four-game set between the Houston Astros and Texas Rangers. Houston posted a pair of 5-3 victories on Friday and Sunday, with the Rangers winning 5-2 on Saturday. Texas (50-34) holds a four-game lead in the American League West over Houston (46-38). On Monday, Cristian Javier (7-1, 3.72) takes the mound for the Astros against Martin Perez (7-3, 4.28) for the Rangers.

The game is slated to begin at 2:05 p.m. ET from Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas. The Rangers are listed at -125 (risk $125 to win $100) on the money line in the latest Astros vs. Rangers odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total runs scored is 9 (see the latest lines for every game on our MLB odds page).

Before making any Rangers vs. Astros picks, you NEED to see the latest MLB predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model. 

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It went 331-285 on top-rated MLB money-line picks (+357) over the past two seasons. It has excelled on top-rated run-line picks this season, going 11-2 (+604). Anybody following has seen big returns!

The model knows Houston has the best team ERA in the American League at 3.57. Javier brings a sterling 7-1 record into today's matchup and his .875 W-L% is the second-best in the AL. The time of this game also favors the Dominican as his ERA is nearly one run lower in day games (3.16 ERA) than in night starts (4.14 ERA). At the plate, Kyle Tucker brings a hot back into this contest as he's on a nine-game hit streak in which he has a 1.164 OPS over this stretch.

The model also knows Texas' Perez has been rolling, allowing two or fewer earned runs in each of his last three starts. He's backed by a sound group of fielders as Texas has the third-best fielding percentage in the AL. Meanwhile, the Rangers also have the best offense in all of baseball, leading the majors in runs, hits, batting average and on-base percentage. Corey Seager is hitting a blistering .351, which trails only Luis Arraez in the majors among players with at least 200 at-bats.

Now, it has set its sights on Astros vs. Rangers. We can tell you the model is leaning Over on the run total, and it also says one side of the money line has ALL the value! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any MLB picks.

So who wins Rangers vs. Astros, and which side of the money line has ALL the value? Join SportsLine now to find out, all from the model that is profitable over the past two seasons on top-rated MLB money-line picks!