Arkansas vs. Texas Tech odds, prediction: 2025 NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 picks from proven model

The No. 3 seed Texas Tech Red Raiders and the No. 10 seed Arkansas Razorbacks link up in a Sweet 16 battle on Thursday. The Razorbacks upset No. 2 seed St. John's 75-66 in the second round. In the meantime, Texas Tech outlasted Drake 77-64 back on March 22 in its second-round contest. Texas Tech's Chance McMillian is questionable to play with an upper body injury. 

Tipoff from the Chase Center in San Francisco, Calif., is set for 10:09 p.m. ET. Texas Tech is a 5.5-point favorite in the latest Arkansas vs. Texas Tech odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 147.5, up three from the opening line. The Red Raiders are -243 money-line favorites, and their over/under for total team points is 71.5.

Before making any Arkansas vs. Texas Tech picks, check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every Division 1 college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters the 2025 NCAA Tournament on a 228-168 roll (+1815) on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to 2023. This model has also produced brackets that have beaten over 91% of CBS Sports entries in four of the last six tournaments and has nailed 25 first-round upsets by double-digit seeds! Anyone following could have seen HUGE returns!

The model has simulated Arkansas vs. Texas Tech 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60% of simulations!

So who wins Arkansas vs. Texas Tech, and which side of the spread hits in nearly 60% of simulations? Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that is 228-168 (+1815) on top-rated college basketball pick and has nailed 25 double-digit upsets!