Arkansas vs. Hawaii odds, prediction: 2026 NCAA Tournament picks from proven model

The 13th-seeded Hawaii Rainbow Warriors face the fourth-seeded Arkansas Razorbacks in the first round of the NCAA Tournament West Region on Thursday. Hawaii is coming off a 71-64 win over UC Irvine in the Big West tournament championship game on March 15, while Arkansas defeated Vanderbilt 86-75 to win the Southeastern Conference Tournament title on Sunday. The Rainbow Warriors (24-8), who have six of seven, placed second in the Big West regular-season standings with a 14-6 mark. The Razorbacks (32-2), who have won five straight, placed second in the SEC at 13-5 in league play. Darius Acuff Jr., who was the SEC Player of the Year, had 91 points and 23 assists in three games while making 12 of 24 3-pointers in the SEC tournament.

Tip-off from Moda Center in Portland, Oregon, is set for 4:25 p.m. ET on March 19. Arkansas leads the all-time series 2-0. Arkansas is a 15.5-point favorite in the latest Hawaii vs. Arkansas odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 160.5. Before making any Arkansas vs. Hawaii picks, check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every college basketball game 10,000 times. It entered the 2026 NCAA Tournament on a sizzling 11-1 run on top-ranked over/under picks dating back to last year, and is on a 28-22 run on top-rated CBB side picks. Anyone following could have seen HUGE returns!

The model has simulated Hawaii vs. Arkansas 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is going Over on the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits over 60% of the time!

So who wins Hawaii vs. Arkansas, and which side of the spread hits over 60% of the time? Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has simulated this matchup 10,000 times!