Arizona State vs. Baylor odds, prediction: 2026 Big 12 Tournament picks from proven model

The 2026 Big 12 Tournament gets underway on Tuesday as the No. 12 seed Arizona State Sun Devils (16-15, 7-11 Big 12) take on the No. 13 seed Baylor Bears (16-15, 6-12 Big 12). The winner advances to play Iowa State in the second round on Wednesday. 

Tipoff from the T-Mobile Center in Kansas City is set for 12:30 p.m. ET. The Bears are 4.5-point favorites in the latest Arizona State vs. Baylor odds, while the over/under is 153.5.

Before making any Baylor vs. Arizona State picks, check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every college basketball game 10,000 times. It entered conference tournament week on a sizzling 14-2 run on top-ranked over/under picks dating back to last year, and is on an 28-21 run on top-rated CBB side picks. Anyone following could have seen HUGE returns!

The model has simulated Arizona State vs. Baylor 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over, and it also says one side of the spread hits in nearly 60% of simulations!

So who wins Baylor vs. Arizona State, and which side of the spread hits nearly 60% of the time? Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has simulated this matchup 10,000 times!