Alabama vs. Texas Tech odds, prediction: 2026 NCAA Tournament picks from proven model

The final game of the second round in the 2026 NCAA Tournament will pit the No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide against the No. 5 Texas Tech Red Raiders. Alabama is coming off a 90-70 win over Hofstra in the first round and is 24-9 on the season while Texas Tech earned a 91-71 win over Akron and is 23-10.

Tipoff for this Midwest Region matchup is scheduled for 9:45 p.m. ET at Benchmark International Arena in Tampa. The Red Raiders are 1.5-point favorites in the latest Alabama vs. Texas Tech odds, while the over/under is 164.5. 

Before making any Texas Tech vs. Alabama picks, you NEED to see the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every college basketball game 10,000 times. It entered the 2026 NCAA Tournament on a sizzling 11-1 run on top-ranked over/under picks dating back to last year, and is on a 28-22 run on top-rated CBB side picks. Anyone following could have seen HUGE returns!

The model has simulated Alabama vs. Texas Tech 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is going Over on the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits over 50% of the time!

So who wins Texas Tech vs. Alabama, and which side of the spread hits over 50% of the time? Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has simulated this matchup 10,000 times!