The SportsLine Projection Model simulates the entire NFL season 10,000 times. That's helped it become an authority on the survivor pool format, which calls for picking one team to win each week, but never picking the same team twice. 

The model has ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch for three years running on straight-up NFL picks. Additionally, it beat over 96 percent of CBS Sports office pool players last season. Last week the model rolled with the Broncos, and they handled the Lions 27-17.

Now, the model has locked in on Week 17, understanding some teams will rest starters and that most Survivor players already have used obvious choices like the Patriots, Saints, Chiefs, Vikings, Packers and Cowboys.

We can tell you the model is not going with the Bills, even though they're at home facing the also-ran Jets. Buffalo is locked into the No. 5 playoff seed and might not be motivated to go all-out. New York is playing hard for first-year coach Adam Gase and has a chance to go 6-2 in the second half of the season.

There's another team the model loves for your NFL knockout pools this week. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who it is before locking in any survivor picks.

So which team is a MUST-BACK in your Week 17 survivor pool? ... Join SportsLine right now to see the optimal Survivor Pool pick for Week 17, all from the computer model that's ranked in the Top 10 on straight-up picks three years running!