2026 Winter Olympics odds, picks: Canada vs. Finland men's hockey Friday's semifinals predictions from proven expert

A spot in the gold medal game is on the line when top-seeded Canada takes on Finland at the 2026 Winter Olympics men's hockey competition on Friday. The winner will take on the winner between the United States and Slovakia on Sunday. Canada advanced to the semifinals with a 4-3 overtime win over Czechia on Wednesday. Finland defeated Switzerland 3-2 in overtime in their quarterfinal.  

Canada enters as the -430 favorite, per FanDuel Sportsbook, while Finland is at +330. The over/under in total goals is 5.5. Friday's puck drop is set for 10:40 a.m. ET from Palaltalia, Milan.

Before making any 2026 Winter Olympics men's hockey playoff picks or predictions, you need to see what hockey insider Matt Severance has to say.

Severance is coming off an outstanding NHL season in which he went 235-155-21 (plus $2,022). He enters the Olympic break on a 26-12 roll on NHL money-line picks this season, returning $1,326 for $100 players. 

For the 2026 Winter Olympic Games, Severance is picking the Under 5.5 total goals. So who wins Friday's semifinal matchup between Canada and Finland? And which puck lines should you be all over?  Visit SportsLine now to see the picks and best bets from the 2026 Winter Olympics, and find out!