The NBA championship will be decided when the Indiana Pacers battle the Oklahoma City Thunder in Game 7 of the 2025 NBA Finals on Sunday. The Pacers (50-32), who are seeking their first championship since winning the 1973 ABA title, are 7-4 on the road during the 2025 playoffs. The Thunder (68-14), who can win their first championship since moving to Oklahoma City in 2008, are 10-2 on their home floor this postseason. Tyrese Haliburton (calf) is officially listed as questionable, while Jarace Walker will miss Sunday's showdown with an ankle injury for Indiana. 

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Tipoff from Paycom Center in Oklahoma City is set for 8 p.m. ET. Oklahoma City has won five of eight meetings this season. The Thunder are 7-point favorites in the latest Pacers vs. Thunder odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 215. Indiana's T.J. McConnell has the most games with 10+ points and 5+ assists off the bench in an NBA Finals since the 1977 merger, and his over/under for total points scored in Game 7 is 9.5. Before making any Pacers vs. Thunder picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions from SportsLine's Matt Severance.    

Severance is a well-connected writer and high-volume handicapper who has worked in the industry since 2005. After joining SportsLine, Matt quickly established himself as a top expert in multiple sports. Over the past three NBA seasons, he has returned $4,452 for $100 bettors on all NBA picks and he enters this matchup on a 168-91-1 roll (+3524) on NBA picks. Anybody following him could have seen HUGE returns!

Severance is going Under on the total, and he's also found a critical X-factor that makes one side a must-back! Be sure to see what it is before locking in any picks of your own.

Who wins Thunder vs. Pacers, and what critical X-factor makes one side a must-back? Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the Pacers vs. Thunder spread you need to jump on, all from the expert who has returned more than $3,500 for $100 players in his last 260 NBA picks!

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