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2025 Kentucky Derby morning-line odds, picks, post time: Bets from expert with a history of Triple Crown success

CBS Sports analyst Tim Doyle, who correctly called Mage to win the 2023 Run for the Roses, has made his picks and bets for the 151st Kentucky Derby on Saturday at Churchill Downs

By@SportsLinePublished: May 03, 2025 9:50PM UTC . 3 min read

Santa Anita Derby winner Journalism can confirm his status as the country's top three-year-old when he leaves the starting gate in the 2025 Kentucky Derby on Saturday at Churchill Downs in Louisville. Journalism has won four straight races and is the 3-1 favorite in the 2025 Kentucky Derby odds. Fountain of Youth Stakes winner Sovereignty (5-1), Arkansas Derby winner Sandman (6-1), Santa Anita Derby runner-up Baeza (12-1) and Blue Grass Stakes winner Burnham Square (12-1) round out the top five favorites in the 19-horse 2025 Kentucky Derby field. Post time is 6:57 p.m. ET. The latest Kentucky Derby weather forecast is calling for rain.

With the Kentucky Derby annually presenting the toughest handicapping challenge of the year, you NEED to see how CBS Sports analyst Tim Doyle has to say before making any 2025 Kentucky Derby picks. Join SportsLine here to get his full breakdown.

Doyle is an experienced horse bettor, having lived less than 20 miles from both Belmont Park and Aqueduct Racetrack in New York. He prefers to play multirace wagers, from doubles to Pick 6s. And in 2020, he had the biggest score of his life, hitting a $150,000 Pick 5 at Oaklawn Park.

During the 2023 Triple Crown, Doyle was on fire. He correctly called 15-1 longshot Mage to win the Kentucky Derby and 8-1 longshot Arcangelo to win the Belmont Stakes! Anyone who has followed him is WAY UP! Join SportsLine here to see what he's picking for the Kentucky Derby.

For Saturday, Doyle has handicapped the 2025 Kentucky Derby field, made his picks and constructed his bets.

One surprise: Doyle is completely fading Journalism, even though he is the 3-1 favorite. The favorite has failed to win any of the last six Kentucky Derby races, and Doyle doesn't see Journalism as the horse to break that streak. Journalism finished third in his debut, so he's not entering with a flawless record. Saturday will not only be his first race in Churchill Downs, it will also be his first competition outside of California.  See who else to pick and avoid here.

Instead of backing the favorite, Doyle's top pick is a double-digit longshot who "has a massive closing kick." He is including this horse in his 2025 Kentucky Derby bets, and so should you. You ABSOLUTELY NEED to see his picks before locking in any of your own.

Which shocking double-digit longshot wins the Kentucky Derby? And how has Doyle constructed his wagers? ... Join SportsLine right now to get Tim Doyle's 2025 Kentucky Derby picks, all from the analyst who nailed the 15-1 longshot Kentucky Derby winner in 2023!

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