The 2025-26 FBS bowl schedule begins on Saturday, Dec. 13 when Boise State faces Washington in the LA Bowl. The Huskies are 8.5-point favorites in the college football bowl odds, and there won't be a larger college football bowl spread until the CFP First Round. On Dec. 20, Ole Miss is favored by 17.5 points over Tulane, while Oregon is a 21-point favorite over James Madison. The latest college football bowl lines can be a helpful tool when locking in 2025-26 college football bowl confidence picks, but identifying several upsets can give you an edge over the field as well. 

The CFP First Round games are included in college football bowl confidence contests, providing a total of 39 matchups to make picks on. There are five bowl games with a double-digit spread and also five contests with a college football bowl line of under a field goal. So, making college football bowl confidence predictions may be easier for some games but not so much for others.

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Before entering any college football bowl confidence pools, you need to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say. 

The model simulates every FBS game 10,000 times, and it is profitable on its top-rated money-line and over/under picks since the beginning of the 2024 season. Anyone following could have seen impressive returns.

Now, it has studied the latest college football odds (see the latest college football lines for each matchup this week on our college football odds page), simulated every single play for every bowl game, and the results are in.

One of the model's most confident picks is that Houston, a 3.5-point favorite, gets a double-digit win over LSU in the Texas Bowl on Dec. 27. The model has the Cougars winning in 80% of simulations. Another one of the bowl confidence predictions the model is high on: USC (-6.5) gets a comfortable win over TCU in the Alamo Bowl on Dec. 30. SportsLine's model has the Trojans prevailing nearly 70% of the time.

The model has also made the call on who wins every other game, including 11 matchups where one side is winning in at least 70% of simulations, in addition to 15 underdogs winning outright! These projections can give you a huge edge in your 2025-26 college football bowl picks, so you ABSOLUTELY need to see them before finalizing any picks. 

So which teams should you back in your college football bowl confidence pools, and which underdogs win outright? ... Join SportsLine now to see who wins every single bowl game, all from the model that has simulated every game 10,000 times! 

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