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2024 NFL Playoffs Ravens vs. Texans odds, line: Advanced computer model reveals picks for Saturday's AFC Divisional Round game

SportsLine's projection model, which is on a 183-129 run on top-rated NFL picks, has generated selections for the divisional round playoff game between Baltimore and Houston

By@SportsLinePublished: Jan 20, 2024 2:57PM UTC . 3 min read

The top-seeded Baltimore Ravens will try to break out of their postseason funk when they host the fourth-seeded Houston Texans on Saturday in a 2024 AFC Divisional Round contest. Baltimore (13-4) posted the best record in the league this season, but has not fared well in the NFL playoffs since winning Super Bowl XLVII, going 2-5 and winning just one of its last six games. Houston (11-7) is 0-4 in the divisional round, but is coming off a dominant 45-14 triumph over Cleveland in their wild-card matchup. The Ravens opened this season with a 25-9 victory against the Texans.

Kickoff at M&T Bank Stadium is scheduled for 4:30 p.m. ET. Baltimore is a 9.5-point favorite in the latest Ravens vs. Texans odds while the over/under for total points scored is 43.5. Baltimore is -451 on the money line, while Houston is +348. Before you make any Texans vs. Ravens picks or NFL playoff predictions, you need to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs on an incredible 183-129 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It also is on a 37-21 roll on top-rated picks since Week 7 of last season and nailed seven straight top-rated picks entering the 2024 NFL playoffs.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

The model knows Baltimore registered six consecutive victories before resting several key starters in a 17-10 loss to Pittsburgh in its regular-season finale. One of those players was Lamar Jackson, who threw for a career-high 3,678 yards with 24 touchdowns and seven interceptions while leading the team in rushing with 821 yards.

The model also knows Houston became just the third team since 1950 to record a postseason victory with both a rookie quarterback and head coach, joining the 2008 Ravens and 2009 New York Jets. Quarterback C.J. Stroud was eighth in the NFL with 4,108 passing yards during the regular season and excelled against teams with winning records, throwing 21 TD passes and only two interceptions.

Now, the model has set its sights on Ravens vs. Texans. We can tell you the model is leaning Over the total, and it also says one side of the spread cashes in more than 50% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NFL picks.

So who wins Texans vs. Ravens on Saturday, and which side of the spread cashes over 50% of the time? ... Join SportsLine now to see which side of the Ravens vs. Texans spread to back, all from the model on an incredible 183-129 run on NFL picks!

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