A rematch of last season's men's basketball championship game will take place when the UConn Huskies and San Diego State Aztecs collide in the Sweet 16 of the 2024 NCAA Tournament on Thursday at TD Garden in Boston. Last year, the Huskies blitzed the Aztecs, 76-59, in the title game to capture the program's fifth national championship.

Tip-off is scheduled for 7:39 p.m. ET. The Huskies are favored by 11.5 points in the latest UConn vs. San Diego State odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 136.5.

Before making any San Diego State vs. UConn picks or NCAA Tournament predictions, you need to check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model. (See up-to-date odds for every game this week on our college basketball odds page.)

The model simulates every Div. I college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters the Sweet 16 round of the 2024 NCAA tournament on a 152-109 roll on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to last season, returning more than $1,800 for $100 players. It also has a strong 32-21 (+890) record on top-rated spread picks this season, and it called 13 Sweet 16 teams this year. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

The model knows that the Huskies have one of the best players in the country in Tristen Newton. The 6-foot-5 guard leads the team in scoring (15.3 points per game) and assists (6.2 per game) while ranking second in rebounding (6.8). For his efforts this season, he was named a first team all-America by the Associated Press.

But the model also has taken into account that the Aztecs are one of the best defensive teams in the nation. San Diego State leads the Mountain West and ranks 15th in the country in field goal percentage defense (40.3). The team also gives up just 93.5 points per 100 possessions, which ranks ninth in Div. I in Ken Pomeroy's adjusted defensive efficiency metric.

For Thursday, the model has set its sights on UConn vs. San Diego State. We can tell you the model is leaning Over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations. You ABSOLUTELY need to see the model before locking in any college basketball picks.

Who wins San Diego State vs. UConn, and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the UConn vs. San Diego State spread you should be all over Thursday, all from the model on a 152-109 roll on college basketball picks!