Rickie Fowler enters the third round of the 2023 U.S. Open with a one-shot lead after tying the U.S. Open 36-hole scoring record. Fowler sits at 10-under par, but several major champions, including Rory McIlroy (-8), Dustin Johnson (-7) and Scottie Scheffler (-5), enter the weekend within striking distance.

Despite being two shots back, McIlroy is the +300 favorite (risk $100 to win $300) according to the 2023 U.S. Open odds at Caesars Sportsbook. Fowler is next in line at +330, while Xander Schauffele (+500), Wydham Clark (+600) and Scheffler (+650) are also among the top 2023 U.S. Open contenders. Saturday tee times begin at 12:33 p.m. ET with the leaders getting underway after 5 p.m. ET. 

We simulated the final two rounds of the 2023 U.S. Open 10,000 times, and there are some MAJOR surprises. Join SportsLine here to see the model's shocking 2023 U.S. Open projected leaderboard.

Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been RED-HOT since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, the model is up over $10,200 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

McClure's model predicted Jon Rahm would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. And at the 2023 Masters, the model was all over Rahm's second career major victory heading into the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the second straight Masters win for the model, which also nailed Scottie Scheffler winning in 2022.

In addition, the model included Nick Taylor in its best bets to win the 2023 RBC Canadian Open. That bet hit at +7000, and for the entire tournament, McClure's best bets returned nearly $1,900. McClure's best bets also included Jason Day (17-1) winning outright at the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson, even though he hadn't won a PGA Tour event since 2018.

This same model has also nailed a whopping nine majors entering the weekend! Anyone who has followed it has seen MASSIVE returns! Join SportsLine now to see the model's shocking U.S. Open picks from 10,000 simulations!

One major surprise the model is calling for at the U.S. Open 2023: McIlroy, a four-time major champion and the favorite heading into the weekend, stumbles down the stretch and fails to win his first major since 2014. McIlroy is off to a blistering start after opening with two rounds of 67 or lower. However, McIlroy has struggled to close tournaments in recent weeks, shooting 72 or higher in three of his last four final rounds. 

Another surprise: Tony Finau, a 60-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He's a target for anyone looking for a HUGE payday! Finau sits seven shots behind Fowler, but he's proven he has the game to climb the leaderboard. He's won twice already this season, and he entered the week ranked third in birdie average (4.54), fifth in scoring average (69.39) and seventh in strokes gained: total (1.755).

Also, the model is targeting THREE other golfers with 2023 U.S. Open odds of 25-1 or longer who will make a STRONG run at the title, including a massive triple-digit longshot! Anyone who backs these golfers could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who they are before locking in any 2023 U.S. Open picks!

So who wins the U.S. Open 2023, and which HUGE longshots make a serious run at the title? ... Join SportsLine right now to see who you can bank on to win the 2023 U.S. Open, and see which longshots make a run at the title, all from the model that's nailed 9 majors, including this year's Masters!