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2023 Southeastern Conference Tournament semifinal, Vanderbilt vs. Texas A&M odds, line: Proven model reveals college basketball picks for March 11, 2023, matchup

SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Saturday's SEC Tournament semifinal between the Vanderbilt Commodores and Texas A&M Aggies

By@SportsLinePublished: Mar 11, 2023 5:28PM UTC . 3 min read

The second-seeded Texas A&M Aggies will look to reach their second consecutive SEC Tournament Championship Game in a row on Saturday, but standing in the way is the sixth-seeded Vanderbilt Commodores. The Commodores (20-13, 11-7 SEC) stunned third-seeded Kentucky 80-73 in the quarterfinals on Friday. Vanderbilt will be seeking its first tournament title since 2012, and third overall. The Aggies (24-8, 15-3), meanwhile, defeated No. 10 Arkansas 67-61 in the quarterfinals, and are looking for their first-ever SEC Tournament title.

The game from the Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, Tennessee, will tip off at 3:30 p.m. ET (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our college basketball odds page). The Aggies are 6-point favorites in the latest Vanderbilt vs. Texas A&M odds, while the over/under for total points scored is set at 140.

Before making any Vanderbilt vs. Texas A&M picks, you NEED to check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. The model enters conference tournament week 76-51 on all-top rated college basketball picks this season, returning nearly $1,200 for $100 players. Anybody who has followed it has seen HUGE returns. 

The model knows Texas A&M sophomore guard Wade Taylor IV has dominated over the past nine games, scoring in double figures in each, including 20 or more points six times during that stretch. In last Saturday's win over second-ranked Alabama, he scored 28 points and grabbed three rebounds in a 67-61 win. In Friday's quarterfinal win over Arkansas, he scored 18 points, while grabbing three boards and dishing out three assists. He has been red hot from the floor, entering the tournament by hitting on 40.5% of his field goals, including 36.5% from 3-point range, and 86.9% from the free-throw line. For the season, he is averaging 16.4 points, 2.8 rebounds and four assists per game.

The model also knows junior guard Tyrin Lawrence helped power Vanderbilt's upset of Kentucky in the SEC quarterfinals on Friday. He finished with 18 points, four rebounds and two assists. It was his sixth game in a row reaching double-figure scoring. He has scored 10 or more points in 21 games, including one double-double – an 18-point and 10-rebound performance in a 74-71 win over Ole Miss on Feb. 4. In 32 games, including 30 starts, he is averaging 12.3 points, 4.2 rebounds and 1.8 assists.

Now, it has set its sights on Vanderbilt vs. Texas A&M. We can tell you the model is leaning Over the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any college basketball picks.

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