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2023 NCAA Tournament Maryland vs. West Virginia line, picks: Advanced computer college basketball model releases selections for Thursday's first round matchup

SportsLine's projection model generated picks and best bets for Thursday's 2023 NCAA Tournament matchup between the No. 8 Maryland Terrapins and the No. 9 seed West Virginia Mountaineers

By@SportsLinePublished: Mar 16, 2023 3:18PM UTC . 2 min read

The No. 8 Maryland Terrapins take on the No. 9 West Virginia Mountaineers in a South Region matchup at 12:15 p.m. ET on Thursday. West Virginia is favored by 2.5 points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 137 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our college basketball odds page). 

Before making any Maryland vs. West Virginia picks, you NEED to check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. The model enters conference tournament week 76-51 on all-top rated college basketball picks this season, returning nearly $1,200 for $100 players. Anybody who has followed it has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows Maryland is strong in opponent shooting. The Terrapins allow only 32.1% shooting from 3-point range and 47.7% inside the arc. Maryland blocks nearly 10% of shot attempts, and the Terrapins are above-average in defensive rebound rate, free throw rate allowed, and turnover rate this season. The model also knows West Virginia is in the top 15 of the country in adjusted offensive efficiency. The Mountaineers are also prolific at the free throw line, averaging 22.8 attempts per game and converting 71.4% of attempts. West Virginia was also the best offensive rebounding team in the Big 12 this season, securing nearly 35% of missed shots in conference action.

Now, it has set its sights on Maryland vs. West Virginia. We can tell you the model is leaning Over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 60% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any college basketball picks.

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