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2023 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest odds, predictions: Vegas expert reveals his picks for Fourth of July competition

Former Vegas bookmaker Micah Roberts breaks down the odds and makes picks for Tuesday's iconic competitive eating event in Coney Island, NY

By@SportsLineUpdated: Jul 04, 2023 5:33PM UTC . 2 min read

Two legendary champions attempt to defend their crowns on Tuesday as Joey Chestnut and Miki Sudo compete in the 2023 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest in Coney Island, New York. Chestnut has won seven consecutive titles and 15 in the last 16 years, while Sudo has dominated on the women's side of late, capturing the championship in eight of the last nine editions of the eating competition.

Chestnut is a -3000 favorite on the men's side in the latest 2023 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest odds at Caesars Sportsbook, while Geoffrey Esper is +1400. The over/under for total hot dogs eaten by Chestnut is 73.5. Other sportsbooks are offering odds on the women's side, with Sudo an even bigger favorite at -4000, the field at +1500 and Sudo's over/under at 43.5. Coverage for the women's championship kicks off at 11 a.m. ET, followed by the men's championship at 12:30 p.m. ET. (update: The women's contest is over but the men's is in an indefinite weather delay).

A former Vegas bookmaker who follows the hot dog eating competition closely, Roberts knows value when he sees it in any line. He's cashed multiple times in this event, including calling the winner of both contests in 2020 and hitting the Under in both competitions last year!

For the 2023 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest, we can tell you Roberts is going with Over 43.5 total hot dogs (-115) in the women's competition.

Roberts also has locked in a strong pick involving the men's side, and he has a full breakdown of both competitions. Does Roberts see Chestnut and Sudo continuing to dominate the events? Or can someone on either side (or both) pull off a huge upset? Roberts' picks could surprise you.

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