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2023 Hollywood Casino 400 odds, picks: Projected NASCAR at Kansas leaderboard, predictions from proven model

The SportsLine Projection Model simulated the 2023 Hollywood Casino 400 at Kansas Speedway 10,000 times and revealed its NASCAR picks

By@Mike5754Updated: Sep 06, 2023 2:25PM UTC . 3 min read

The 2023 NASCAR Playoffs will continue on Sunday as the NASCAR Cup Series descends on Kansas Speedway for the 2023 Hollywood Casino 400. The green flag is scheduled to drop at 3 p.m. ET. Denny Hamlin is the 9-2 favorite in the 2023 Cook Out Southern 500 odds. Kyle Larson is 5-1 after his win last week, while Martin Truex Jr. is 11-2 and William Byron is 6-1 in the NASCAR at Kansas odds.

Our proven NASCAR projection model has simulated the race 10,000 times and came up with a surprising leaderboard. Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model takes into account a slew of factors including track history and recent results.

McClure's model is off to a red-hot start this season, already nailing Martin Truex Jr.'s Clash win (20-1) as well as his win in New Hampshire (11-2), Joey Logano's Duel win (8-1), Kyle Busch's Fontana victory (10-1), Denny Hamlin's triumph in Kansas (6-1) and Kyle Larson's wins at Martinsville (6-1) and the NASCAR All-Star Race (13-2). In Austin, it listed Tyler Reddick as one of its best values and he went on to win for a 10-1 payout. It also impressively nailed five of Larson's wins during his historic season in 2021. All told, the model has nailed a whopping 13 winners since 2021! Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw HUGE returns.    

Now, the model has dialed in on the 2023 Hollywood Casino 400 and released its projections.

Kansas Speedway opened in 2001 and it's been hosting the NASCAR Cup Series ever since, with two races annually since 2011. The 1.5-mile speedway has been dominated by Toyota of late, with the manufacturer winning six of the last eight races there. Denny Hamlin won the spring race in Kansas and is now a four-time winner on the track. Kevin Harvick, Joey Logano, Martin Truex Jr., Kyle Busch and Brad Keselowski are the other active drivers with multiple victories at Kansas Speedway. 

For the 2023 Hollywood Casino 400, we can tell you the model is high on Kevin Harvick, even though he's a 20-1 longshot in the latest 2023 NASCAR at Kansas odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a HUGE payday. And a massive shocker: The model says William Byron, one of the Vegas favorites at 6-1, stumbles big-time and fails to crack the top five! There are far better values in the 2023 Hollywood Casino 400 starting lineup.

The model is also targeting three other drivers with 2023 NASCAR at Kansas odds of 13-1 or higher to make a serious run at the checkered flag! Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who they are before locking in any NASCAR picks.

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