The NASCAR Cup Series will continue with the 2023 Food City Dirt Race at Bristol Motor Speedway. The green flag is scheduled to drop at 7 p.m. ET on Sunday and the iconic 0.533-mile track will be covered in dirt for the most unique event on the NASCAR schedule. Kyle Larson is the 9-2 favorite in the 2023 Bristol Dirt Race odds from Caesars Sportsbook while Tyler Reddick and Christopher Bell are just behind him at 6-1.

Our proven projection model has simulated the race 10,000 times and came up with a surprising leaderboard.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model takes into account a slew of factors including track history and recent results.

McClure's model is off to a red-hot start this season, already nailing Martin Truex Jr.'s Clash win (20-1), Joey Logano's Duel win (8-1), and Kyle Busch's Fontana victory (10-1)! Then two weeks ago in Austin, it listed Tyler Reddick as one of its best values and he went on to win for a 10-1 payout. It also impressively nailed five of Kyle Larson's wins during his historic season in 2021. All told, the model has nailed a whopping nine winners since 2021. Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw HUGE returns.

Now, the model has dialed in on the Bristol Dirt Race 2023 and released its projections. 

We can tell you the model is high on Daniel Suarez, even though he's a 20-1 longshot in the latest 2023 NASCAR at Bristol odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a HUGE payday. And a massive shocker: Christopher Bell, one of the Vegas favorites at 6-1, stumbles big-time and barely cracks the top five! There are far better values in the 2023 Food City Dirt Race starting lineup.

The model is also targeting two other drivers with 2023 NASCAR at Bristol odds of 14-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag! Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who they are before locking in any NASCAR picks.

So who wins the 2023 Food City Dirt Race? And which longshots are a MUST-BACK? ... Join SportsLine right now to see the full projected NASCAR at Bristol leaderboard, all from the model that has already called the winners of the Clash, a Daytona Duel and the Pala Casino 400!