The NASCAR Cup Series will continue on Sunday with the 2023 Toyota/Save Mart 350. The green flag will drop at 3:30 p.m. ET and the race is scheduled to go 110 laps around the 2.52-mile road course. Tyler Reddick (5-1), Kyle Larson (5-1) and Chase Elliott (11-2) are the top three favorites in the 2023 Toyota/Save Mart 350 odds from Caesars Sportsbook.

Our proven NASCAR projection model has simulated the race 10,000 times and came up with a surprising leaderboard.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model takes into account a slew of factors including track history and recent results.

McClure's model is off to a red-hot start this season, already nailing Martin Truex Jr.'s Clash win (20-1), Joey Logano's Duel win (8-1), Kyle Busch's Fontana victory (10-1), Denny Hamlin's triumph in Kansas (6-1) and Kyle Larson's wins at Martinsville (6-1) and the NASCAR All-Star Race (13-2). In Austin, it listed Tyler Reddick as one of its best values and he went on to win for a 10-1 payout. It also impressively nailed five of Kyle Larson's wins during his historic season in 2021. All told, the model has nailed a whopping 12 winners since 2021. Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw HUGE returns.   

Now, the model has dialed in on the Toyota/Save Mart 350 2023 and released its projections.

Sonoma Raceway has been a stop on the NASCAR schedule since 1989 and the 12-turn track is most noteworthy for its negative camber turns in 2 and 3. The inside portion of the track is higher than the outside portion in those corners, creating a challenge that stock car drivers don't typically encounter. Jeff Gordon's five career wins at Sonoma are the most in NASCAR history. Martin Truex Jr.'s three wins on the famed California road course are the most of any active driver entering Sunday's action.

We can tell you the model is high on Daniel Suarez, even though he's a 14-1 longshot in the latest 2023 NASCAR at Sonoma odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a HUGE payday. And a massive shocker: Kyle Larson, one of the Vegas co-favorites at 5-1, stumbles big-time and barely cracks the top five! There are far better values in the 2023 Toyota/Save Mart 350 starting lineup.

The model is also targeting three other drivers with 2023 NASCAR at Sonoma odds longer than 14-1 to make a serious run at the checkered flag! Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who it is before locking in any NASCAR picks.

So who wins the 2023 Toyota/Save Mart 350? And which longshots are a MUST-BACK? ... Join SportsLine right now to see the full projected NASCAR at Toyota/Save Mart 350 leaderboard, all from the model that has already called the winners of six races in 2023!