2023 Ally 400 odds, picks: Projected NASCAR at Nashville leaderboard, predictions from proven model

The NASCAR Cup Series will continue on Sunday with the 2023 Ally 400 at Nashville Superspeedway. The green flag will drop at 7 p.m. ET and the race is scheduled to go 300 laps around the 1.33-mile oval. Kyle Larson is the 5-1 favorite in the 2023 Ally 400 odds from Caesars Sportsbook while his two Hendrick Motorsports teammates William Byron and Chase Elliott are both at 8-1. Martin Truex Jr. is listed at 7-1 in the NASCAR at Nashville odds while Kyle Busch and Denny Hamlin are both priced at 15-2.

Our proven NASCAR projection model has simulated the race 10,000 times and came up with a surprising leaderboard.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model takes into account a slew of factors including track history and recent results.

McClure's model is off to a red-hot start this season, already nailing Martin Truex Jr.'s Clash win (20-1), Joey Logano's Duel win (8-1), Kyle Busch's Fontana victory (10-1), Denny Hamlin's triumph in Kansas (6-1) and Kyle Larson's wins at Martinsville (6-1) and the NASCAR All-Star Race (13-2). In Austin, it listed Tyler Reddick as one of its best values and he went on to win for a 10-1 payout. It also impressively nailed five of Kyle Larson's wins during his historic season in 2021. All told, the model has nailed a whopping 12 winners since 2021! Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw HUGE returns.   

Now, the model has dialed in on the Ally 400 2023 and released its projections.

Nashville Superspeedway is located just outside Nashville proper in Lebanon and the concrete tri-oval first appeared on the NASCAR Cup Series schedule in 2021. Larson won the first-ever Cup race in Nashville while Elliott won last year's race. The track has also hosted 23 NASCAR Xfinity Series races and 15 NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series races in its history. Originally opened in 2001, the track was closed in 2011 because of attendance issues before a revival in 2021 that brought NASCAR back.

For the 2023 Ally 400, we can tell you the model is high on Joey Logano, even though he's a 15-1 longshot in the latest 2023 NASCAR at Nashville odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a HUGE payday. And a massive shocker: Kyle Busch, one of the Vegas favorites at 15-2, stumbles big-time and barely cracks the top five! There are far better values in the 2023 Ally 400 starting lineup.

The model is also targeting one other driver with 2023 NASCAR at Nashville odds longer than 15-1 to make a serious run at the checkered flag! Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who it is before locking in any NASCAR picks.

So who wins the 2023 Ally 400? And which longshots are a MUST-BACK? ... Join SportsLine right now to see the full projected NASCAR at Ally 400 leaderboard, all from the model that has already called the winners of six races in 2023!