The top-seeded Gonzaga Bulldogs look to take another step toward a return trip to the championship game when they meet the No. 4 seed Arkansas Razorbacks in the West Region semifinals of the 2022 NCAA Tournament at the Chase Center in San Francisco on Thursday. Gonzaga (28-3) survived a scare against Memphis in the second round, rallying for an 82-78 victory on Saturday. Arkansas (27-8) advanced to the Sweet Sixteen with a 53-48 triumph over New Mexico State.

Tipoff is set for 7:09 p.m. ET. The Bulldogs are 9.5-point favorites in the latest Gonzaga vs. Arkansas odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 155.5. (See up-to-date odds for every game this week on our college basketball odds page.)

Before making any Arkansas vs. Gonzaga picks or NCAA Tournament predictions, be sure to check out what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of over $1,300 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen HUGE returns.

The model knows Gonzaga rode the strong play of Drew Timme to victory against Memphis. The junior forward scored 21 of his game-high 25 points in the second half as the Bulldogs erased a 10-point halftime deficit and advanced to the Sweet Sixteen for the seventh consecutive time. Timme was 10-for-16 from the field and pulled down 14 rebounds to become the first player since Oklahoma's Blake Griffin in 2009 to post back-to-back performances with at least 25 points, 10 rebounds and 60 percent shooting in the NCAA Tournament.

The model also knows Arkansas earned a spot in the Sweet Sixteen for the second straight year with its 53-48 triumph over New Mexico State on Saturday. Senior guard JD Notae led the Razorbacks with 18 points and made eight steals while sophomore forward Jaylin Williams registered a double-double with 10 points and 15 rebounds. It was the 14th double-double of the season and second in a row for Williams, who had 13 points and 10 boards in Arkansas' first-round victory against Vermont.

Now, the model has set its sights on the NCAA Tournament and Gonzaga vs. Arkansas. We can tell you it is leaning Over the total, and it also says one side of the spread covers in 70 percent of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any college basketball picks.

Who wins Gonzaga vs. Arkansas? And which side of the spread covers in 70 percent of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Arkansas vs. Gonzaga spread you should be all over Thursday, all from the model on a roll on college basketball picks!