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2022 Hollywood Casino 400 odds, picks: Projected NASCAR at Kansas leaderboard, predictions from proven model

The SportsLine Projection Model simulated the 2022 Hollywood Casino 400 at Kansas Speedway 10,000 times
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The NASCAR Cup Series schedule continues on Sunday with the 2022 Hollywood Casino 400 from Kansas Speedway. It is the second race of the 2022 NASCAR Playoffs and the green flag drops at 3 p.m. ET. Denny Hamlin is the 9-2 favorite in the latest NASCAR at Kansas odds from Caesars Sportsbook. 

Our proven projection model has simulated the 2022 Hollywood Casino 400 10,000 times and come up with a surprising leaderboard.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model takes into account a slew of factors including track history and recent results.

In the 2021 season, McClure's model nailed Truex Jr. to win at Martinsville for a strong 3-1 payout. Then it called Elliott to win at Road America for a 5-2 payout. McClure's model also called Larson's win at Texas for an 11-4 payout and his win at Kansas for a 9-4 payout in back-to-back weeks before nailing Larson to win the season finale in Phoenix to claim the 2021 NASCAR Cup Championship. In total, it nailed five of Larson's wins during a historic season

So far in 2022, it was high on Ross Chastain to win in Austin, giving him a far better shot to win than his 40-1 odds implied. The model was also high on Joey Logano before he won as a 15-1 underdog at Darlington and high on Logano again when he returned 14-1 on his win in St. Louis. In early August it was much higher on Kevin Harvick than his 17-1 odds implied and Harvick went on to capture the win at Michigan. Anyone who followed its lead on those plays saw HUGE returns.

Now, the model has dialed in on NASCAR Kansas 2022 and released its projections.

Kansas Speedway has only been in the NASCAR Cup Series rotation since 2001 but it's produced some thrilling finishes, with four overtime races since 2011 including both races in 2019. Kurt Busch won the first race at Kansas but wound up foregoing his spot in the 2022 NASCAR Playoffs because of an injury, allowing Ryan Blaney to get back into the postseason field. Blaney is currently sixth in the NASCAR standings despite being winless on the year and is in good position to make the Round of 12.

For the 2022 Hollywood Casino 400, we can tell you the model is high on Harvick, even though he's a 14-1 longshot in the latest 2022 NASCAR at Kansas odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a HUGE payday. And a massive shocker: Christopher Bell, one of the Vegas favorites at 10-1, stumbles big-time and fails to crack the top 10! There are far better values in the 2022 Hollywood Casino 400 starting lineup.

The model is also targeting TWO OTHER drivers with 2022 NASCAR at Kansas odds of 14-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag! Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who it is before locking in any NASCAR picks.

So who wins the 2022 Hollywood Casino 400? And which longshots are a MUST-BACK? ... Join SportsLine right now to see the full projected NASCAR at Kansas leaderboard, all from the model that nailed five of Kyle Larson's wins last season!

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