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2022 AutoTrader EchoPark Automotive 500 odds, picks: Projected NASCAR at Texas leaderboard, predictions from proven model

The SportsLine Projection Model simulated the 2022 AutoTrader EchoPark Automotive 500 at Texas Motor Speedway 10,000 times
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The NASCAR Cup Series schedule continues on Sunday with the 2022 AutoTrader EchoPark Automotive 500 at Texas Motor Speedway. The field for the 2022 NASCAR Playoffs was trimmed from 16 to 12 after last week in Bristol and the 12 remaining drivers now have three races until the cut from 12 to 8. The green flag drops at 3:30 p.m. ET. Denny Hamlin is the 11-2 favorite in the latest NASCAR at Texas odds from Caesars Sportsbook. 

Our proven projection model has simulated the 2022 AutoTrader EchoPark Automotive 500 10,000 times and come up with a surprising leaderboard.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model takes into account a slew of factors including track history and recent results.

In the 2021 season, McClure's model nailed Truex Jr. to win at Martinsville for a strong 3-1 payout. Then it called Elliott to win at Road America for a 5-2 payout. McClure's model also called Larson's win at Texas for an 11-4 payout and his win at Kansas for a 9-4 payout in back-to-back weeks before nailing Larson to win the season finale in Phoenix to claim the 2021 NASCAR Cup Championship. In total, it nailed five of Larson's wins during a historic season

So far in 2022, it was high on Ross Chastain to win in Austin, giving him a far better shot to win than his 40-1 odds implied. The model was also high on Joey Logano before he won as a 15-1 underdog at Darlington and high on Logano again when he returned 14-1 on his win in St. Louis. In early August it was much higher on Kevin Harvick than his 17-1 odds implied and Harvick went on to capture the win at Michigan. Anyone who followed its lead on those plays saw HUGE returns.

Now, the model has dialed in on NASCAR Texas 2022 and released its projections.

Texas Motor Speedway began hosting the NASCAR Cup Series in 1997 and all-time great Jimmie Johnson has won seven of the 41 races that have been run on the 1.5-mile oval. The track has also hosted the NASCAR All-Star Race the last two seasons and defending NASCAR Cup Series champion Kyle Larson is coming off a big season in Fort Worth. Larson won the all-star race and the 2021 AutoTrader EchoPark Automotive 500 in Texas and he's listed at 13-2 in the NASCAR at Texas odds this week.

For the 2022 AutoTrader EchoPark Automotive 500, we can tell you the model is high on Kevin Harvick, even though he's a 20-1 longshot in the latest 2022 NASCAR at Texas odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a HUGE payday. And a massive shocker: Kyle Busch, one of the Vegas favorites at 15-2, stumbles big-time and fails to crack the top five! There are far better values in the 2022 AutoTrader EchoPark Automotive 500 starting lineup.

The model is also targeting FOUR OTHER drivers with 2022 NASCAR at Texas odds of 10-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag! Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who it is before locking in any NASCAR picks.

So who wins the 2022 AutoTrader EchoPark Automotive 500? And which longshots are a MUST-BACK? ... Join SportsLine right now to see the full projected NASCAR at Texas leaderboard, all from the model that nailed five of Kyle Larson's wins last season!

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