England head to Milan on Friday looking for their first victory of the tournament in a 2022-23 UEFA Nations League matchup with Italy at San Siro Stadium. England (0-2-2) are in danger of being relegated to League B, as they sit at the bottom of Group 3 with two games to play. Italy (1-2-1) are third in the group table but sit just two points behind a Hungary team they are set to face in their group finale next Monday. The group winner advances to the four-team Nations League Finals next June.        

Kickoff is set for 2:45 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists England as slight +145 favorites (risk $100 to win $145), with Italy the +180 underdogs on the 90-minute money line in its latest Italy vs. England odds. A draw is priced at +200 and the over/under for total goals is 2.5. (For more soccer coverage, click here)

Before you make any England vs. Italy picks or any other 2022-23 UEFA Nations League predictions, you MUST see what SportsLine soccer insider Martin Green has to say! 

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. Since then, his European soccer picks have been spot-on. Green has generated almost $33,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season, and he is 25-19-1 over his past 45 soccer picks overall. He has his finger on the pulse of the game all over the globe.

Green knows Italy will have a decided home-field advantage and have been in better form in Nations League play so far. They suffered a distressing 5-2 loss to Germany in their most recent group match, but the young squad will be eager to atone for that. They still have strong veteran leadership in the form of captain Leonardo Bonucci and midfielders Jorginho and Nicolo Barella. Ciro Immobile is a seasoned forward to lead the likes of Giacomo Raspadori and 18-year-old Wilfried Gnonto, who scored against Germany.

The expert also is aware that England will be desperate to avoid heading to League B and should put out a top-tier lineup. That means Harry Kane leading the attack with support from the likes of Mason Mount, Phil Foden, Jack Grealish and Raheem Sterling. The Three Lions were worn down after the club season early in the Nations League campaign, but they are more talented and experienced than the Azzurri. They held 60 percent possession and had a 12-8 advantage in shots in the last meeting, which ended 0-0.

Now, Green has taken a close look at the Italy vs. England match from all sides, and we can tell you he is taking the Under on the goal total. He also has two other CONFIDENT best bets, including a strong plus-money play, and a full breakdown of this UEFA Nations League match. You ABSOLUTELY need to see his picks and analysis before making any selections of your own. 

Where does all the betting value lie for Friday's Italy vs. England UEFA Nations League showdown? ... Join SportsLine now to see Martin Green's best bets for the England vs. Italy Nations League matchup, all from the soccer insider who has generated almost $33,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season!