2021 Rebel Stakes morning-line odds, picks: Racing insider offers bet strategy for Saturday's race

A spot in the Kentucky Derby will be on the line on Saturday when eight talented three-year-olds leave the starting gate in the 2021 Rebel Stakes. The Brad Cox-trained Caddo River is the 9-5 morning-line favorite in the latest 2021 Rebel Stakes odds. Post time for the race is 6:16 p.m. ET. 

Before you make any Rebel Stakes picks, you NEED to see what racing insider Bob Weir has to say.

Based in Saratoga Springs, N.Y., Weir has been handicapping and following horse racing since reading Andy Beyer's landmark handicapping book "Picking Winners" in the late 1980s. Weir is highly invested in the Beyer Speed Figure, a number assigned to every race run by a horse that measures how fast the horse ran. He uses the figure as the backbone of his handicapping. In fact, thanks to his proficiency with speed figures and top-tier handicapping, he landed one of just eight spots on Beyer's figure-making team in 2017, a position he holds to this day.

Weir's methodology has produced multiple five-figure days. In 2014, he hit a $60,000 Pick 6 at Del Mar. The following year, he nailed a $31,000 Pick 6 at Gulfstream Park. In 2016 and 2017, Weir qualified for the prestigious National Horseplayers Championship in Las Vegas!

Last year, his first for SportsLine, Weir was on fire. In June, Weir hit a $2 superfecta in the Ogden Phipps Stakes that paid a whopping $1,039. He crushed the exacta and trifecta in the Forego Stakes in August for $1,134.50. He hit the late Pick 4 at Belmont Park on June 18, June 19, June 25, July 2 and July 5, with the June 25 score returning a whopping $2,159.50.

Last week, he crushed the exacta in the Tampa Bay Derby for $1,414! Anyone who has followed Weir is way up.

Now, he has handicapped the 2021 Rebel Stakes field, made his picks and constructed his bets. 

One shocker: Weir's top pick is not Caddo River, even though he is the 9-5 favorite. "He's vulnerable," Weir told SportsLine.

Instead, Weir's top choice is a long shot who "fits nicely with this group" and could spice up your exotics! Weir is including this horse in his exactas, trifectas and superfectas, and so should you. You ABSOLUTELY need to see which horse it is before locking in any picks.

Who wins the 2021 Rebel Stakes? And which long shot is a MUST-BACK? ... Join SportsLine right now to get the top 2021 Rebel Stakes picks and bets, all from the racing insider who just nailed the Tampa Bay Derby!