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2021 Mister D. Stakes morning-line odds, picks: National handicapping champion offers picks for Saturday's race

Jonathon Kinchen, who won $366,000 at last year's Breeders' Cup and $150,000 on Kentucky Derby Day in 2015, offers his handicapping analysis and picks for the Mister D. Stakes on Saturday at Arlington Park
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The race formerly known as the Arlington Million will be held for what may be the final time when 10 accomplished turf horses leave the starting gate in the 2021 Mister D. Stakes on Saturday at Arlington Park in Arlington Heights, Ill. Three-time Grade 1 winner Domestic Spending is the 6-5 morning-line favorite in the 2021 Mister D. Stakes odds. Post time is 6:13 p.m. ET. (Check out SportsLine's extensive horse racing coverage.)

Handicapping champion Jonathon Kinchen has studied the race and constructed his wagers in his analysis below. An analyst for Fox Sports' Saratoga Live and co-host of the In the Money Players' Podcast, Kinchen won the National Horseplayers Championship Tour in 2015, a demanding, yearlong series of handicapping events across the country. In November, he finished second out of 418 contestants in the prestigious Breeders' Cup Betting Challenge, which earned him $215,000 in prize money. After factoring in his profit during the 14 Breeders' Cup races, he took home more than $366,000 on the day.

The Mister D. Stakes is the signature race of the summer racing meet at Arlington Park, but all signs point to this year's meet being the last at the Chicagoland area track. Arlington Park's current owner, Churchill Downs Inc., has put the property up for sale for redevelopment, putting the fate of the track in serious jeopardy. Since 1981, the track has hosted the Mister D. Stakes, previously known as the Arlington Million, which was the first thoroughbred race to offer a $1 million purse.

Saturday's race includes arguably the country's top turf runner, Domestic Spending. Trained by Chad Brown, this 4-year-old son of Kingman has six wins and one third in seven career starts. He has won four straight races and three straight Grade 1 starts. 

Kinchen has handicapped the 2021 Mister D. Stakes field, made his picks and constructed his bets.

One surprise; Kinchen is high on Zulu Alpha, who is an 8-1 long shot on the morning line. "The fact that [trainer Mike] Maker brings him back here even after that poor effort in his last start says a lot," Kinchen tells SportsLine. Kinchen will be using Zulu Alpha prominently in his wagers.

Instead, Kinchen's top pick is a horse who was "ultraimpressive" recently. Kinchen also is high on a double-digit long shot who has "an impressive turn of foot." You NEED to see Kinchen's analysis before making any Mister D. Stakes picks of your own.

Kinchen is one of the nation's most successful and recognizable horseplayers. An analyst for Fox Sports' Saratoga Live and co-host of the In the Money Players' Podcast, Kinchen won the National Horseplayers Championship Tour in 2015, a demanding, yearlong series of handicapping events across the country. That same year, he became the only player in history to have both of his entries qualify for the final table of the National Horseplayers Championship.

In addition, Kinchen has scored huge on some of racing's biggest days. In November, he finished second out of 418 contestants in the prestigious Breeders' Cup Betting Challenge, which earned him $215,000 in prize money. After factoring in his profit during the 14 Breeders' Cup races, he took home more than $366,000 on the day!

It's no fluke, either. At the 2015 Kentucky Derby, he cashed for $150,000 after nailing the Pick 6 and a Pick 3 that paid $50,000.

So who wins the 2021 Mister D. Stakes Stakes? What long shot is a must-back? And how has Kinchen constructed his wagers? ... Join SportsLine now to get 2021 Mister D. Stakes Stakes picks and bets, all from an unmatched handicapping champion who won $366,000 in the 2020 Breeders' Cup and $150,000 on Derby Day in 2015!

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SportsLine Staff