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2019 NFL picks: Week 4 predictions from an advanced computer model

The SportsLine Projection Model, which has returned over $7,000 on top-rated NFL picks since its inception, picks every NFL game.
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The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NFL game 10,000 times and has crushed human experts on a consistent basis. 

This model is up over $7,000 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks since its inception four years ago. It has absolutely nailed its recent top-rated NFL picks, entering Week 4 of the 2019 NFL season on a strong 17-10 run that dates back to last season. It's also on a 79-53 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. And in Week 3, it was all over the Saints (+5) without Drew Brees covering against the Seahawks and Daniel Jones leading the Giants (+5) to the cover against the Bucs.

The model ranked inside the top 10 on NFLPickWatch for the third straight year on straight-up NFL picks and beat over 96 percent of CBS Sports office pool players. Anyone who has followed it is WAY UP.

Now, it has simulated every snap of Week 4 of the 2019 NFL season and the results are in. 

We can tell you the model says the Bears (-1.5) cover against the Vikings in an NFC North battle at Soldier Field. Chicago's defense has been among the best in the NFL, giving up just 13 points per game. Vikings quarterback Kirk Cousins, meanwhile, has struggled. The model predicts that Cousins will throw for under 200 yards against the Bears as Chicago covers in well over 50 percent of simulations. There's also value on the Under (38) because that hits almost 60 percent of the time. 

The model also has a strong pick for the huge showdown between the unbeaten Chiefs and Lions, and is calling for a Super Bowl contender to go down HARD in an upset you won't see coming. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who it is before locking in your own picks.

So which teams should you back in Week 4 of the 2019 NFL season? And which Super Bowl contender gets stunned? ... Join SportsLine here to see which teams are winning more than 50 percent of simulations, all from the model that has returned over $7,000 on its top-rated picks!

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SportsLine Staff