Tiger Woods missing the cut at PGA Championship has happened fairly often recently

In this very unusual coronavirus-altered golf season, the 2020 PGA Championship will be the first of three Grand Slams this year – the British Open was canceled -- and technically the only Slam of the 2019-20 wraparound season when it tees off Thursday from TPC Harding Park in San Francisco, the first time that course has hosted a major championship. Yes, Brooks Koepka is going for a historic threepeat at the tournament, but as usual all eyes will be on Tiger Woods.

Woods' next PGA Tour victory would be No. 83 overall, which would break a tie for the all-time record with Sam Snead – Snead won this tournament three times, all back when it was a match play event. Should Tiger win Sunday, he would tie Jack Nicklaus and Walter Hagen for the most PGA Championship victories with five. Tiger hasn't won it since repeating in 2007.

Woods is +2200 on the William Hill moneyline odds to win, but perhaps the most interesting prop is on Tiger at +200 to miss the cut. He's likely to be rusty, having played just one tournament since the restart and that was a couple of weeks ago at the Memorial in Akron when Woods never shot better than 71 and finished T40 at an event he had won five times previously.

Tiger has been very hit-or-miss in the PGA Championship of late. Last year at Bethpage Black, he missed the cut. He was a runner-up in 2018 at Bellerive outside St. Louis, but Woods missed the cut in his previous two PGA Championships before that in 2015 & '14. He also missed in 2011.

That said, Woods won the WGC-American Express Championship at TPC Harding Park in 2005 and was 5-0 during the Presidents Cup competition there for Team USA in 2009. Woods is +650 for a Top 5 finish this week and +300 for a Top 10. To simply make the cut, Tiger is -275. Finally, Tiger is -120 head-to-head against Daniel Berger (-105), who comes off a runner-up finish last week in Memphis.

Tiger will tee off at 11:33 a.m. ET Thursday with new world No. 1 Justin Thomas and two-time PGA Championship winner Rory McIlroy (+1400).

Koepka is a +1000 co-favorite with Thomas as Koepka looks to become the first player since the PGA Championship became a stroke play tournament to win it three years in a row. 

The SportsLine Projection Model simulated the 2020 PGA Championship 10,000 times and came up with a shocking leaderboard.  Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been RED-HOT since the PGA Tour resumed in June. In fact, it's up over $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.