Expert Picks

Unfortunately, Japan are going to be without Takefusa Kubo for this match, but I still don’t think that’s enough to slow this side down. Tunisia have been downright terrible. So bad that they fired their manager and brought in Hervé Renard. This one is pretty simple for me. Tunisia have lost three straight matches and have been outscored 11-1 in those games. They’ve conceded five goals in back-to-back matches, made Sweden look like a World Cup winning side, and we just saw what the Dutch did to Sweden. This line has moved a ton, but I still think there’s a little value left on Japan -1 if you act fast.

The main argument I'm seeing in favor of Tunisia is that they'll have a "new manager bump" after dismissing their former match following their thrashing by Sweden. I don't believe in this bump for the national team, as this team continues to struggle with problems both on and off the pitch. Japan are the better team here and it's not close. Tunisia lost 5-1 to Sweden and at this time Sweden are losing 4-1 to Netherlands. Japan tied Netherlands 2-2. They are the better team, with better attack and better depth, and I expect them to get the job done.