Simulation Picks
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It's just too tempting to look at a good, organized defensive Switzerland side who probably can advance with just a draw and pick them to do just that. Based on various tiebreakers it would take Cameroon beating Brazil by two in the other Group G match for the Swiss to draw and go home. Given that Switzerland remain resolutely committed to organized and dogged defending, and doing just enough to win, and that they've got a history of doing just that, 0-0 and 1-1 scores just seem well over-represented in the possible outcomes from this match. Serbia need to win, but there's not a lot of evidence that they'll be able to crack a Swiss defense that just held Brazil at bay for over 80 minutes.
This is pretty good value at -135, considering the Swiss can’t score and are likely to be playing for a draw. The assumption is that Cameroon won’t beat Brazil in the other Group G match, making one point enough for Switzerland to get through. The Swiss have scored once over their first two games and have conceded just one goal. I think the chance of either team scoring more than once is close to nil. I’d play this to -150.

