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Kyle Akins
Kyle Akins
SportsBook Breakers
Kyle is a data-driven expert with a decade of handicapping success. He built an extensive database of historically-driven team and player trends, along with extremely valuable league-wide situations. Using his MBA background, Kyle combines this statistical analysis with an understanding of value propositions. Kyle dominates college football, going 272-215-11 (+$3,650) from the start of the 2017 season through October 2020. He also crushes MLB, going 463-408-8 (plus $3,088) since the start of the 2017 season. For Kyle Akins media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.
LAST 5 NBA O/U PICKS
+500
Record: 5-0
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Miami 108 @ Philadelphia 125 | 01/15 | 12:00 AM UTC

Miami +10.5

LOSS

ANALYSIS: Running the game through their young wings due to all the COVID absences Tuesday, Miami took Philadelphia to the brink. While this eight-man Miami roster is not a recipe for long-term success, the Heat have the playmaking and shooting to keep this matchup close again. Miami is playing its third straight road game and second straight in Philadelphia. The Heat are 6-0-1 ATS on the road coming off a road game.

+490 6-1 IN LAST 7 NBA PICKS

Portland 132 @ Sacramento 126 | 01/14 | 3:00 AM UTC

OVER 236.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: Sacramento is showing no commitment on the defensive end, giving up an average of 130.4 points over its last five games despite none of those games going to overtime. The meeting between these teams Saturday would have been much higher scoring had the Kings kept the game close, which is likely to occur here. Portland defeated Toronto Monday, 112-111. In that tight game, Damian Lillard played just over 40 minutes. The Trailblazers are 17-0-1 OU (16.39 ppg) as a favorite off a win as a favorite in which Damian Lillard played more than 40 minutes.

+500 5-0 IN LAST 5 NBA O/U PICKS

Tampa Bay 31 @ Washington 23 | 01/10 | 1:15 AM UTC

Washington +8

PUSH

ANALYSIS: Washington is far from a great team, but the one thing the Football Team has managed is to stay competitive in games. The last time Washington lost a game by more than seven points was Week 5. Washington’s front four is its strength, and teams that can get a pass rush with just four players have given Tom Brady trouble the last couple of years. Brady has done an admirable job avoiding sacks as Tampa Bay has allowed just 22 all season. However, teams in the playoffs that have allowed no more than 1.45 sacks per game are 27-46-1 ATS. Tampa Bay by three. But Washington covers.

+321 13-9-3 IN LAST 25 NFL PICKS

Orlando 90 @ Houston 132 | 01/09 | 1:00 AM UTC

UNDER 225

WIN

ANALYSIS: Despite changes in coaching and management for Houston, the Rockets are still very driven by their three-point shooting. Houston was just 8-of-30 on threes in a loss at Indiana on Wednesday, and that is three straight games for Houston with less than 32 percent three-point shooting on at least 30 attempts. The Under is 211-157-7 when a team shot less than 33 percent on threes on at least 25 attempts in each of its last three games. Playing at home is unlikely to change matters for Houston. The Under is 11-0 when Houston is the home team with less than two days rest.

+500 5-0 IN LAST 5 NBA O/U PICKS

San Antonio 118 @ L.A. Lakers 109 | 01/08 | 3:00 AM UTC

OVER 222.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: Los Angeles struggled to score in its win at Memphis on Tuesday. That's helping drive the total down seven points from when these teams played twice last week, creating value on the Over. Prior to recording just 94 points versus the Grizzlies, the Lakers had scored at least 107 in every contest. In at least the eighth game of the season, teams are 170-133-7 OU coming off an outing in which they scored at least nine points less than they had in any other game that campaign.

+500 5-0 IN LAST 5 NBA O/U PICKS