ANALYSIS: The Hawkeyes played well the last two games but struggled the two games before that. Wisconsin's Micah Potter is good around the rim, and I think he can handle Luka Garza. I'm on the Badgers.

ANALYSIS: I originally liked Kansas City, but after doing some more analysis I really think all of the shuffling on the offensive line will be a huge factor and hurt the Chiefs. Three linemen -- the left and right tackles and right guard -- will be playing out of position. That's not good going up against Tampa Bay's front seven, which has five Pro Bowl-caliber players. On the other side of the ball, Kansas City's run defense ranked 21st in the league in rushing yards allowed per game (122.1). With Leonard Fournette and Ronald Jones II, the Buccaneers can exploit that. I've got Tampa Bay.

ANALYSIS: I would grab this line before it goes up, which it surely will once Patrick Mahomes' status becomes clearer. He's taking all the right steps to clear concussion protocol and playing on Sunday; he was on the practice field again on Thursday. I also think the Chiefs will be able to run the ball effectively against a Bills defense that allowed 4.6 yards per carry during the regular season; just six teams gave up more. A lot is being made about Kansas City's inability to cover in its last nine games. (The team is 1-8 or 0-9 depending on what line you use.) But the Chiefs were favored by seven or more in seven of those nine games. I like them covering this small number.

ANALYSIS: I am loading up on Green Bay. I like the Packers a lot because they are tough to beat at home at this time of the year. Since Aaron Rodgers became the starting quarterback, Green Bay is 30-6 at home in December and January. Also, in the last six games the Packers have given up just 17.3 points a game. They'll be able to hold down a Tampa Bay offense that didn't do much against New Orleans last week but greatly benefited from four Saints turnovers. Rodgers and the Packers won't make the same mistakes that Drew Brees and the Saints made.

ANALYSIS: New Orleans has Tampa Bay's number. The Saints beat the Bucs easily twice during the regular season and held Tampa Bay to just three points in the most recent meeting. Like all quarterbacks, Tom Brady doesn't do well when he's pressured, and the New Orleans defense is good at getting pressure; the Saints ranked eighth in the NFL in sacks (45). On the other side of the ball, quarterback Drew Brees should be able to take advantage of a blitz-heavy Bucs defense. I'm on the Saints.