ANALYSIS: There's too much skill on these offenses to think this game will stay Under: Joe Burrow, Ja'Marr Chase and Joe Mixon on Cincinnati; Matthew Stafford, Cooper Kupp and Odell Beckham Jr. on Los Angeles. These teams both averaged 27.1 points a game in the regular season, which tied for seventh in the league. Also, unless you're expecting a game in the teens, there are very few score combinations that stay Under. We win with 23-23 or 24-24 in regulation. We also win with 26-23 or 28-21. I think this is pretty simple. Take the Over.

ANALYSIS: Cincinnati already has won at Tennessee and at Kansas City in the postseason. Both of those challenges were tougher than facing the Rams in a neutral-site Super Bowl, even if the game is in the L.A. area. And the Bengals defense absolutely shut down the Chiefs in the second half of the AFC Championship Game, and the Rams' offense poses less of a challenge. Officially, I'm taking Cincinnati to cover in a close game, and I wouldn't talk anyone out of also playing the Rams on the moneyline in an attempt to "middle" the game.

ANALYSIS: I think this will be a tight, defensive game. Both defenses are good. Most importantly, San Francisco will try to control the clock with its dangerous running game, which should eat up the clock and shorten the game. Three of the last four meetings between these teams stayed Under this number, and those games were not played under the crucible of the playoffs. I'm bullish on the Under.

ANALYSIS: A week ago, I took San Francisco against Green Bay and said the 49ers were my pick to win the Super Bowl. While I was correct on the game, I'm backing off San Francisco to win it all. I just don't like the way that quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo has been playing; I think he will cost them this game. Meanwhile the Rams have a good defense and a quarterback, Matthew Stafford, who's finally getting his chance to shine in the playoffs. I love L.A.

ANALYSIS: I like the Chiefs for the same reasons I liked them last week: Patrick Mahomes, who is as talented as any quarterback to ever play the game, throwing to Tyreek Hill deep and Travis Kelce short. I also think the home field advantage will end up being a huge edge for Kansas City. Some people question how the Chiefs will rebound after last week's draining win, but I trust Andy Reid will have them ready. I'm high on Kansas City.