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    Brad Botkin

    Book Nerd

    Brad Botkin is a senior NBA writer who has been with CBS Sports since 2011, the first seven as an editor, and over that time he has refined his wagering approach down to one basic rule: Do not trust your first instinct. This most often applies to the glamorous teams and players, but Overs fall into this category, too. Casual gamblers love the big teams and Overs, and the books steal value accordingly. When Brad sees a bet that screams one way, he is always intrigued to look deeper into the opposite angle. For Brad Botkin media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

    LAST 9 NBA ATS PICKS
    +475
    RECORD: 7-2-0
    +475
    7-2 IN LAST 9 NBA ATS PICKS

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    Brad's Past Picks

    Feb 26 2024, 12:00 am UTC
    League
    Oklahoma City
    123
    @ Houston
    110
    +475
    7-2 in Last 9 NBA ATS Picks
    +90
    2-1 in Last 3 OKC ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    The Thunder are rolling and Houston is coming off a big win over Phoenix. Both teams defend and play really hard, but OKC's firepower pulls away as the game gets deep.

    Pick Made: Sun 6:40 pm UTC
    Feb 26 2024, 12:00 am UTC
    League
    Denver
    119
    @ Golden St.
    103
    +475
    7-2 in Last 9 NBA ATS Picks
    +190
    3-1 in Last 4 DEN ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    Everything points to Golden State here. The Warriors are rolling, at home, and Jamal Murray is out for Denver. Nothing is that easy. Take the points with the Nuggets, who are 9-7 without Murray this season with a handful of marquee wins, including one over the Warriors.

    Pick Made: Sun 7:59 pm UTC
    Feb 24 2024, 1:00 am UTC
    League
    Washington
    106
    @ Oklahoma City
    147
    +475
    7-2 in Last 9 NBA ATS Picks
    +90
    2-1 in Last 3 OKC ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    The Wizards are disaster, and OKC, though on a back to back, is riding the momentum of a major energy win over the Clippers. This is a team starting to feel itself as a true contender but is young enough to not take nights off. Bet the blowout.

    Pick Made: Feb 23, 11:03 pm UTC
    Feb 15 2024, 3:00 am UTC
    League
    L.A. Clippers
    130
    @ Golden St.
    125
    +300
    3-0 in Last 3 NBA Picks
    Analysis:

    The Clippers have only played four games without Kawhi Leonard this season. They are 2-2, but the two good teams they played blew them out. I don't think they get blown out here; in fact, I would play the money line on the Warriors, who stay hot and get a tight win.

    Pick Made: Feb 15, 1:42 am UTC
    Feb 10 2024, 3:30 am UTC
    League
    New Orleans
    122
    @ L.A. Lakers
    139
    +475
    7-2 in Last 9 NBA ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    New Orleans has been great ATS this season and the Lakers are on a back-to-back after a tough loss against Denver in which LeBron and AD played a combined 73 minutes. Zion Williamson is listed as questionable but expect him to play.

    Pick Made: Feb 09, 11:27 pm UTC
    Feb 10 2024, 12:00 am UTC
    League
    Atlanta
    127
    @ Philadelphia
    121
    +475
    7-2 in Last 9 NBA ATS Picks
    +140
    2-1 in Last 3 ATL ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    Joel Embiid out. Tyrese Maxey out. DeAnthony Melton out. Nic Batum out. Yes, Dejounte Murray and Clint Capela are also out for Atlanta, but Trae Young should be able to get this done.

    Pick Made: Feb 09, 11:30 pm UTC
    Feb 09 2024, 12:00 am UTC
    League
    Golden St.
    131
    @ Indiana
    109
    +475
    7-2 in Last 9 NBA ATS Picks
    +90
    2-1 in Last 3 GS ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    Golden State stood pat at the trade deadline, which lifts a weight off the shoulder of Klay Thompson and Andrew Wiggins. This team is about to hit another level of freedom and focus as they aim to make a playoff run, and it starts on Thursday in Indiana.

    Pick Made: Feb 08, 10:22 pm UTC
    Feb 07 2024, 12:30 am UTC
    League
    Orlando
    95
    @ Miami
    121
    +300
    3-0 in Last 3 NBA Picks
    Analysis:

    One of the few teams that makes fewer 3s than Miami is Orlando. Miami's offense has been in the mud for some time, and Orlando brings one of the best defenses in the league.

    Pick Made: Feb 06, 9:25 pm UTC
    Feb 06 2024, 12:30 am UTC
    League
    L.A. Clippers
    149
    @ Atlanta
    144
    +475
    7-2 in Last 9 NBA ATS Picks
    +140
    2-1 in Last 3 ATL ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    Trae Young is 20 for his last 31 from downtown. He is on fire since his All-Star snub and the Hawks have won four straight. He's playing to prove a point and the Clippers are on a back-to-back.

    Pick Made: Feb 05, 9:54 pm UTC
    Feb 06 2024, 12:00 am UTC
    League
    Sacramento
    110
    @ Cleveland
    136
    +475
    7-2 in Last 9 NBA ATS Picks
    +90
    2-1 in Last 3 CLE ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    This is the final stop on a seven-game road trip for the Kings. Fatigue could factor in for a team that plays at warp speed, but more than that, the Cavs are the hottest team in the league and back to full strength with Darius Garland and Evan Mobley working back into the lineup. Some books have Cleveland at -4. Take the extra half point if you can get it and ride the home team.

    Pick Made: Feb 05, 10:39 pm UTC
    Jan 30 2024, 2:00 am UTC
    League
    Milwaukee
    107
    @ Denver
    113
    +475
    7-2 in Last 9 NBA ATS Picks
    +190
    3-1 in Last 4 DEN ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    Just like they did going into Boston and taking down the then undefeated-at-home Celtics, the Nuggets will use this game as a measuring stick/statement as the Doc Rivers era begins in Milwaukee.

    Pick Made: Jan 30, 12:01 am UTC
    Jan 24 2024, 3:00 am UTC
    League
    L.A. Lakers
    116
    @ L.A. Clippers
    127
    +475
    7-2 in Last 9 NBA ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    LeBron James is out. Books tend to give too much when stars don't play. Take the extra couple points. The Lakers will keep this competitive.

    Pick Made: Jan 24, 12:34 am UTC
    Jan 18 2024, 1:30 am UTC
    League
    Dallas
    110
    @ L.A. Lakers
    127
    +475
    7-2 in Last 9 NBA ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    Kyrie Irving is scorching hot. So is Tim Hardaway Jr. Now Luka Doncic is back, too, and the Mavericks have the edge as a 3-point shooting team, which helps them in this matchup against the all-paint-protecting Anthony Davis. Plus, Dallas is just a better team. Take the points.

    Pick Made: Jan 18, 12:05 am UTC
    Jan 16 2024, 3:30 am UTC
    League
    Oklahoma City
    105
    @ L.A. Lakers
    112
    +475
    7-2 in Last 9 NBA ATS Picks
    +90
    2-1 in Last 3 OKC ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    The Lakers wouldn't be the best matchup for OKC in a playoff series as they rely on penetration and Anthony Davis could shut a good amount of that off. OKC shoots a great percentage from 3 but those numbers are carried by low-volume guys, but the Lakers don't make hardly any 3s either, so the Thunder are OK on the math game. OKC covers in a close one.

    Pick Made: Jan 15, 11:09 pm UTC
    Jan 13 2024, 3:00 am UTC
    League
    New Orleans
    113
    @ Denver
    125
    +475
    7-2 in Last 9 NBA ATS Picks
    +190
    3-1 in Last 4 DEN ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    New Orleans is 0-6 in one-possession games. If they win even half of those, they are sitting one game back of the No. 1 seed right now. In other words, this is a really good team that has won six straight outright on the road and seven if its last 10 overall. Another close game, win or lose, is likely on the menu, and we're eating at plus-6.

    Pick Made: Jan 13, 1:24 am UTC