Larry's Picks (8 Live)
The QB situation is unclear for both teams early in the week. ...
The Rams are in bounceback mode after an upset loss in Carolina. ...
Larry's Past Picks
The Lions are banged-up in the secondary, enabling Amik Robertson to grab an every-down role. He has 11 tackles over the past two games. Now he's facing the Cowboys' high-octane passing attack, which has generated a high rate of tackles for opposing corners. I love Robertson to rack up at least four combined stops.
George Pickens practiced fully Tuesday, setting him up for another big game. It will be played indoors, against a Lions defense that plays the most man coverage (42.8 percent) and third-most single-high safety (61.4 percent) in the NFL. Pickens destroys those alignments. He's cleared this prop total in seven straight games and has 68 targets in that span.
David Montgomery is not the preferred receiving back for Detroit, but the Lions are shorthanded in terms of targets. Detroit's top two tight ends are out, while Amon-Ra St. Brown is truly questionable with a sprained ankle. Montgomery has a reception in all but one game and over the past two weeks, he has caught all five of his targets for 35 yards. The Cowboys have surrendered 18 catches to opposing running backs over their past three games.
Since Quinnen Williams' arrival, the Cowboys have allowed the fewest yards in the NFL to running backs (117 yards on 36 carries). They just knocked off both of last year's Super Bowl participants. While Dallas will miss Jadeveon Clowney, the Lions' injuries are more severe. Dallas is arguably the better team right now. Grab the field goal.
Zaccharie Risacher is a totally different shooter at home: 50 percent from the field, 37.5 percent from deep. He averages 15.4 points at State Farm Arena. On Wednesday, Risacher faces a Clippers team he scored 11 against in LA. The Clippers have lost five in a row while allowing an average of 124.2 points. Look for Risacher to clear this prop total for the fourth time in five games.
Raptors star Scottie Barnes averaged 8.5 boards last month. Over the past four games, with R.J. Barrett sidelined by a knee injury, Barnes grabbed 38 rebounds (9.5 per game). Barrett remains out and I bet Barnes to get at least eight boards Tuesday against visiting Portland. His minutes increased slightly over that four-game span too. The Trail Blazers play at the third-fastest pace, which should only increase Barnes' opportunities.
TreVeyon Henderson has drawn nine targets in the past couple weeks, both games in which New England led for long stretches. With the Patriots dealing with offensive line issues, look for Drake Maye to use Henderson as an outlet multiple times. He has the explosiveness to potentially clear this prop total in one catch.