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Sat, Nov 086:00 pm UTCWilliams Stadium
Missouri State
Bears
MOST
Last 5 ATS
W/L7-4
ATS7-5
O/U4-8-0
FINAL SCORE
21
-
17
Liberty
Flames
LIB
Last 5 ATS
W/L4-8
ATS3-9
O/U6-6-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
7-4
Win /Loss
4-8
7-5
Spread
3-9
4-8-0
Over / Under
6-6-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
MOST @ LIB
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
MOST @ LIB
Subscribers Only

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OVER / UNDER
MOST @ LIB
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

38%
PUBLIC
62%
MONEY
4%
PUBLIC
96%
MONEY
Over51%
PUBLIC
Under49%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

SpreadLiberty -7.5 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+528
61-50-4 in Last 115 NCAAF Picks
+308
11-7-1 in Last 19 NCAAF ATS Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

For Mizzou State, we wonder about depth issues, and if the Bears aren't about to start wearing down (it already seems to be happening with fellow ex-FCS promoted U-Dee). For MSU, it's three wins on the spin, so we're going a bit against recent flow, but squeezing by vs. the bottom tier of C-USA is a bit different than doing the same in Lynchburg. That's because Liberty looks ready for a late-season run with three wins in a row, including a 59-30 rout of aforementioned Delaware last week. QB Ethan Vasko is off of his best game of the season, tossing a pair of TDs vs. the Blue Hens, while unstoppable RB Evan Dickens motored for a big 213 YR. Play Liberty

Pick Made: Nov 08, 10:54 am UTC on BetMGM

Team Injuries

Missouri State Bears
Friday, Jan 09, 2026
Avatar
TE
Hayden Hagler
Undisclosed
Avatar
TE
Gary Clinton
Leg
Liberty Flames
Thursday, Jan 15, 2026
Avatar
RB
Julian Gray
Foot
Avatar
QB
Ethan Vasko
Undisclosed
Avatar
TE
Connie Hewitt II
Undisclosed
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