UCF "leads" 5-3. That's players in the transfer portal instead of uniform for this bowl. The Golden Knights also have two injury scratches, though QB John Rhys Plumlee, who has been ailing, appears good to go. Most significantly, both UCF coordinators have left. It adds up to too much turmoil. Knights coach Gus Malzahn is 3-5 straight-up in bowls. Duke might have the motivational edge. The team has not gone bowling in four years, and coach Mike Elko can top off his first season at the school with a win.

The Knights have some questions under center with John Rhys Plumlee's health still a bit up-in-the-air. Thomas Castellanos will take the snaps if he can't go, but coach Gus Malzahn's offense won't change no matter who's taking the snaps. Money has swung to Duke's favor since this matchup was announced, but a little too much considering that little hook on the end of the spread. The speed of Malzahn's crew will be too much for Duke to deal with throughout an entire four quarters.