This number is a little too high by my estimation. Florida State's offense looked decent in its win over LSU, but it's still a unit that lacks explosiveness overall, and keeps the clock running with a high run rate. Meanwhile, Louisville's offense seems to be struggling as many of Malik Cunningham's top weapons have moved on. On the other side of the ball, the Louisville defense looked better against UCF than it did Syracuse, but while it's still not great, it's good enough to help keep this game below the total.