Wisconsin has been on fire during the Big Ten Tournament, and Michigan was lucky to sneak past Maryland in the semifinals. These teams met in December with the Wolverines winning by three. The Badgers are playing better basketball, but can't be expected to keep shooting the way they have been from beyond the arc. I expect Wisconsin to win in a game that comes down to the final possession.

Michigan has burned us in Indy, winning twice after dropping 13 of its last 15 vs. the line, winning and covering twice to make it to Sunday...though it was a bit hairy vs. Maryland on Saturday. No matter, we'll buck the Wolverines again, overlooking a result from over three months ago when Michigan nipped Wiscy by 3 at Madison on a night the Badgers missed 21 of their 27 triples. Not something we normally saw from the Badgers, who hit at a solid 36% from deep on the season. Wiscy has been hot in Indy, blowing out UCLA and taking out top seed Michigan State on Saturday, with G John Tonje scoring 32 against the Spartans. Play Wisconsin (Big Ten at Indianapolis)