TCU has won all three games so far while Michigan is 1-1 losing to Wake Forest by 2. New Michigan coach Dusty May brought in nine new players for Michigan this year after having their worst season since 1961 at 8-24. TCU lost nine scholarship players last year but still has coach Jamie Dixon to call the shots and keep the program stable. I'm playing the game under because I feel I have 15 points of an edge on what the total is. Just the under and a lean to TCU.

This seems really generous toward Michigan, which as far as I know doesn't have another Fab Five. Solid club under former FAU Coach Dusty May but 8.5-point favorites? KenPom ranks U-M only 19 spots higher. It is the first road game of the season for the Frogs, but our model has them winning outright and all the others I check have this within 3-4 points at the most. TCU led the nation in fast break points the past two seasons and ranks fourth in the Big 12 with 20.5 this season. The Frogs have outrebounded every opponent thus far by an average of 13.0 per game, fourth best in the conference.