It is not always easy to bring in new pieces, even with experience, to coagulate right off of the bat. After leaning more heavily on frosh a year ago, Arkansas has gone back to Eric Musselman's more-familiar upperclassmen newcomer formula, but three losses in four and no spread covers since the Gardner Webb opener suggests this is going to take some time in Fayetteville. Problems in November seem to be more on defense, however, as the Porker offense still hums at 81 ppg. Duke looks a bit further along as Jon Scheyer has plenty of pieces from last season still in the fold, though the angle to note here is "over" (6-1 for Hogs thus far). Play Duke-Arkansas "Over"

Arkansas is returning from Honolulu with a 4-3 straight up record and a 1-6 against the spread records. Eric Musselman has led the Hogs to the sweet sixteen, three years in a row. Last year they were loaded with talented freshman but his year they have 8 seniors. Musselman brought in some really talented players. This will be Duke's first true road game infront of a hostile crowd. I think the crowd 's energy with help the Hogs stay closed enough for a win.

Models have these teams separated by less than 2 points. The Razorbacks can keep up with Duke defensively, particularly on the inside. They also rank #9 in block % and crash the boards well, which will prevent second-chance points for Duke. Hogs may be able to make the Blue Devils uncomfortable with a faster tempo on the road.